Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 05:51 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
No 50.3%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 36 minuti fa
25 mag 26, 13:18 UTC1 lug 28, 00:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Pauline Hanson become Australian prime minister before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill Pauline Hanson meet Donald Trump face-to-face in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?
Polymarket120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?
Kalshi120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if Pauline Hanson is on a ballot as a candidate for a lower house seat in the 2028 Australian federal election (or another election before then) according to the AEC or ABC reporting.
- She does not need to win, just run.
- Still resolves YES if she runs before the 2028 lower house election, e.g. in a by-election.