Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 63%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto30 lug 25, 22:02 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
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PolymarketRegole
Palestine has not held a presidential election since 2005, and not held a parliamentary election since 2006 (Wikipedia).
- Although there have been local elections, at the national level, Palestine has not held an election in 20 years.
- This question resolves YES if Palestine holds an election recognizably national in character.
- A presidential election would count, a parliamentary election would count, but local elections would not count.
- A presidential or parliamentary election for a large fraction but not all of Palestine (e.g. just the West Bank) would count, if it purports and is widely understood to be a national election for Palestine.
- The election needs merely to have substantively happened, regardless of its quality or results.
