Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 55.9%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto29 giu 25, 02:11 UTC31 mar 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025 iff Zohran wins? (Or less housing if he doesn't.)
Manifold MarketsWhich CA governors will build more housing in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the Chicago Bears build their new stadium?
Manifold MarketsWhen will South Bow announce a decision to build Keystone XL?
KalshiConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
KalshiHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiRegole
Completed units, as reported by the planning department.
- 33,974 units were built in 2024.
- https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/1c9138dc24064b2e8142ff156345a719
- https://www.nyc.gov/content/planning/pages/resources?search=housingdatabase#datasets
- https://www.osc.ny.gov/files/reports/pdf/report-24-2025.pdf
- Specific forecasts:
Mercati aperti
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 351,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 altri esiti
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 56% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025??
- Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Completed units, as reported by the planning department.