Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 67.7%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo14 apr 26, 18:05 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Nectome preserve at least one human by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Until Labs preserve Ben Sasse?
Manifold MarketsWill Nectome have at least ten preserved humans by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Nectome is a human brain preservation company based in Oregon.
- They recently announced that they are beginning pre-sales and will soon be accepting patients.
- https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/E9xfgJHvs6M55kABD/less-dead
- This market resolves YES iff they credibly claim to have preserved at least one hundred human brain as part of their commercial offerings by Dec 30, 2030.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/MaxHarms/will-nectome-preserve-at-least-one)(https://manifold.markets/embed/MaxHarms/will-nectome-have-at-least-ten-pres)(https://manifold.markets/embed/MaxHarms/will-nectome-perform-1000-brain-pre-NLEAPP8EzA)
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 916K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 863,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 68% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030??
- Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Nectome is a human brain preservation company based in Oregon.