Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 57.8%
Previsori
53
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto10 giu 24, 11:06 UTC1 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will lead India after Narendra Modi leaves power?
Manifold MarketsNarendra Modi out as Indian Prime Minister before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump and Narendra Modi meet in person in year 2026?
Manifold MarketsModi out by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketMohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
ElectionsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom13.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 462,6K €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 58% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India??
- Will Narendra Modi win a fourth term as leader of India? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.