Will more than 20% of all transoceanic freight/shipping be routed through the Arctic before 2050?
WeatherOne-OffTrade PolicyMacro & EconomyManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 67.6%
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Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto31 ago 23, 17:01 UTC1 gen 50, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
Rising global temperatures over the past few decades have caused a significant reduction in arctic sea ice, so much so that as soon as the next decade, the Arctic may well be ice free during the summer.
- Though there is much alarm being raised about that, there is also interest in opening up the Arctic sea routes to commercial traffic via initiatives such as the Polar Silk Road.
- But, how much seaborne traffic is it likely to contribute by 2050?
- Will resolve as "Yes" if by 2050 more than 20% of all transoceanic freight is routed through the Arctic.
- Else it will resolve "No".
Mercati aperti
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
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POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
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- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
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- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
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KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
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- Houston64%
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POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will more than 20% of all transoceanic freight/shipping be routed through the Arctic before 2050??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 68% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will more than 20% of all transoceanic freight/shipping be routed through the Arctic before 2050??
- Will more than 20% of all transoceanic freight/shipping be routed through the Arctic before 2050? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will more than 20% of all transoceanic freight/shipping be routed through the Arctic before 2050??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Rising global temperatures over the past few decades have caused a significant reduction in arctic sea ice, so much so that as soon as the next decade, the Arctic may well be ice free during the summer.