Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2035?
Operazioni societarieOne-Off9a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 80.9%
Sì 80.9%Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 ore fa
Obsoleto21 mag 23, 10:30 UTC1 gen 36, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Metaculus still exist and have active forecasting throughout 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Age of Mythology-based Flying Purple Hippos clan (https://flyingpurplehippos.org/) still exist by EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill all in person comic con events go on throughout the 2020s?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegole
Resolves No if Metaculus permanently shuts down or stops working.
- If it is still working, resolves Yes.
- If Metaculus does something unexpected e.g. merge with Manifold Markets: resolves Yes if questions made before the merger still work afterwards.
- No if those questions permanently stop working.