Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 91.9%
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto20 mag 25, 08:13 UTC19 mar 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
Manifold MarketsWill Jordan Bardella be candidate to the 2027 french presidential election?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
Polymarket2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
PolymarketRegole
This question concerns the potential candidacy of Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right party Rassemblement National (RN), in the upcoming 2027 presidential race in France.
- Marine Le Pen has announced her intention to run in 2027, aiming for the presidency for the fourth time.
- However, her ability to stand as a candidate is currently uncertain due to a recent legal conviction that includes a five-year ban on holding political office, linked to a case of misappropriation of European Parliament funds.
- She has appealed this ruling, with the appeal trial expected in early 2026.
- If the appeal fails, Marine Le Pen will be ineligible to run, and the RN’s current president, Jordan Bardella, has already positioned himself as a potential substitute candidate, with the party preparing for this contingency.
- Polls suggest Bardella might even perform as well or better than Le Pen in the election.
