Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.7%
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto18 nov 22, 18:05 UTC18 dic 27, 18:04 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Dario Amodei hold super-voting Anthropic shares at IPO?
KalshiElon Musk Giving Shares to the Public (props)
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?
KalshiWill there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
When we raised our seed round, FTX/Alameda was our largest investor, through the FTX Future Fund regranting program (see: https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Manifold-Finances-0f9a14a16afe4375b67e21471ce456b0).
- Now that they're undergoing bankruptcy proceedings, will it be possible for us to repurchase our own stock?
- Specifically, they bought two SAFEs: 250k @10M postmoney, and 750k @ 15M post money; totaling 7.5% of the company if we are valued at 15m or more.
- This market resolves YES if Manifold buy back the shares; NO if someone else purchases them or the shares have not been moved in about 5 years.