Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
PoliticaOne-OffSalute e medicinaElezioneAmerica Latina2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 23 ott 2026, 10:32 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 97%
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto25 apr 23, 18:29 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRegole
From Futuur:
- Luís Inácio Lula da Silva's term as President of Brazil covers 4 years beginning on [January] 1st, 2023, and ending on December 31st, 2026.
- If he does not finish his term – be it due to impeachment, disease, death, renouncing, having his mandate declared invalid by the judiciary authorities, or any other reason – this market will resolve to "No".
- If Congress passes an amendment to the constitution modifying the length of upcoming presidential terms, and that alters Lula's term as well, this market will be canceled and active wagers will be returned to their respective forecasters.
- [Fixed typo to correct month]
- This market will resolve to match Futuur's resolution.
