Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 77.1%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto7 giu 25, 03:31 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place
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PolymarketEl Salvador Legislative Election Winner
PolymarketWill El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by which date?
PolymarketWill Nayib Bukele be the leader of El Salvador in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a sitting US president visit El Salvador through 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kilmar Abrego Garcia is deported to El Salvador before January 1, 2029.
- Verification will be based on official announcements from the U.S. Department of Homeland Security or reputable news outlets reporting on his deportation.
- If no such deportation occurs by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Kilmar Abrego Garcia, a Salvadoran national, entered the United States around 2011, fleeing gang violence in El Salvador.
- In 2019, an immigration judge granted him protection from deportation to El Salvador due to the threats he faced from local gangs.