Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 69.2%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto3 mag 25, 06:34 UTC30 apr 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will become the next permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party after Kemi Badenoch?
Manifold MarketsWill Kemi Badenoch lead the Conservative party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Kemi Badenoch become Prime Minister of the UK?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?
KalshiPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kemi Badenoch holds the official title of Leader of the Conservative Party in the United Kingdom on May 1, 2027.
- If she does not hold this position on that date, the market will resolve to "No." The determination will be based on official announcements from the Conservative Party or reputable news sources.
- Kemi Badenoch became the Leader of the Conservative Party on November 2, 2024, succeeding Rishi Sunak after the party's significant defeat in the July 2024 general election.
- As the first Black woman to lead a major UK political party, Badenoch has pledged to renew the party by focusing on traditional Conservative values and preparing for the next general election, expected by 2029.
- The local elections on May 1, 2025, resulted in significant losses for the Conservative Party, with Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, making substantial gains.
