Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?
PoliticaOne-OffGeopoliticaChina3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 52.9%
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Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ott 23, 14:38 UTC31 dic 26, 15:59 UTC
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India initially tried to build a military base in Seychelles on Assumption Island in 2018, but was rejected by Seychelles parliament.
- They instead built a military base on Mauritius's Agalega Island.
- However, China has been building its own military base in Madagascar and India's military base in Mauritius is farther from the Mozambique Channel.
- India may decide to build another military base in the southwestern Indian ocean to counter China's growing influence in the region.
- Question resolves YES if India starts to build a military base in a country in eastern Africa before the end of 2026, with the military base near the Indian ocean.
- Listening posts/radar installations/berthing rights do not count, it has to be a full military base.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 53% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026??
- Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: India initially tried to build a military base in Seychelles on Assumption Island in 2018, but was rejected by Seychelles parliament.