Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ian Nepomniachtchi ever become World Chess Champion??

Manifold Markets quota No al 88.9% al 1 novembre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Ian Nepomniachtchi ever become World Chess Champion??

Will Ian Nepomniachtchi ever become World Chess Champion? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 luglio 2040.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Ian Nepomniachtchi has had more than one opportunity to become the world chess champion.

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No 88.9%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Aggiornato 5 ore fa

Obsoleto

25 dic 23, 13:22 UTC15 lug 40, 06:59 UTC

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Ian Nepomniachtchi has had more than one opportunity to become the world chess champion.

Will he ever do it?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ian_Nepomniachtchi
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship
This market will resolve YES when/if Ian Nepomniachtchi becomes world chess champion.
This market will resolve NO when/if I determine that Ian Nepomniachtchi has become irrelevant to the world chess championship.