Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 78.1%
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo20 ago 23, 16:13 UTC1 gen 01, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
will i get a quantum computer in my lifetime?
Manifold Markets💊 What diseases, ailments, or treatments will I get in my lifetime?
Manifold Markets⌛What will happen in my lifetime?
Manifold MarketsWill someone live to be 125 years old during my lifetime?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWho will control the House?
KalshiRegole
Resolves either when I place such a vote or die
- This market is likely correlated with the OR of the following:
- The Republican party essentially remade such that they aren't horribly discriminatory to at minimum groups I care about
- I become one of those mythical detransitioners AND break up with my partner
- The United States becomes a one-party state AND I still live there
- I become so obscenely wealthy that it corrupts me
