Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82.4%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto11 ago 26, 02:45 UTC11 nov 26, 02:43 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsYann LeCun's new AI startup reaches $100M+ valuation by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI-based carbon emissions tracking startup reach 100 paying business customers by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsLargest Company end of September?
Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketRegole
I’ve been working for far too long at building my startup.
- I’m finally starting my big launch event.
- It’s a collaboration between Hackforums.net and my site https://canyouhack.me
- You can see the admin’s announcement here: https://hackforums.net/showthread.php?tid=6330078
- I’ve paid $500 into the prize pool for winner payouts.
- In three months, will I feel that this money was well spent? This market resolves YES if I later regret the investment.
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 180,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 180,1K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 182,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 38,9K €
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 60,4K €
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will I regret investing $500 into my startup??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will I regret investing $500 into my startup??
- Will I regret investing $500 into my startup? dovrebbe risolversi il 11 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will I regret investing $500 into my startup??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I’ve been working for far too long at building my startup.