Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72.8%
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10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto15 mar 26, 19:11 UTC30 set 26, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
This year I am going to try to avoid injuring myself while climbing.
- I do indoor bouldering, sport climbing, and am starting trad climbing this year.
- It needs to be severe enough that I see a doctor, or prevents me from climbing for a month.
- Last year I had two.
- In one I fell and dislocated my elbow, tearing my ulnar collateral ligament in half (but didn't require surgery), which resulted in about a 3 month break.
- In the second I had some weird muscle aches on the other arm that caused me to take a break for about 3 months.
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 916K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 863,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will I injure myself this climbing season??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 73% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will I injure myself this climbing season??
- Will I injure myself this climbing season? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will I injure myself this climbing season??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This year I am going to try to avoid injuring myself while climbing.