Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 79.5%
Previsori
62
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
2 ott 25, 07:28 UTC31 dic 29, 08:20 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will I get a girlfriend before I finish Vakil?
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Manifold MarketsWill I get a girlfriend before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill I have a girlfriend before I turn 35, and if so how will we meet?
Manifold MarketsWill I find a wife by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell recommend a grant to support unconditional cash transfers before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
YES iff I get a girlfriend before I finish reading all of Allen Hatcher’s Algebraic Topology and solve all exercises.
- Resolves when I start dating a girl or complete the Hatcher 100% speedrun.
- Whether or not they count as a girlfriend is up to my discretion.
- I will not attempt to manipulate this market via self-sabotage.
- Note: the "solve all exercises" clause is there to make finishing Hatcher much harder than it would normally be.
- Progress spreadsheet:
