Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 64%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto13 nov 23, 03:32 UTC31 dic 47, 15:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the USA become a province of Argentina?
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PolymarketLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
PolymarketHong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if Hong Kong is officially a province of the PRC by December 31st 2046.
- This is a much tighter version of this market
- https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/will-hong-kong-be-an-sar-of-the-prc
Mercati aperti
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 94,7K €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 35,2K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+2.5pt51.9%
- 27°C+2.5pt23.1%
- 25°C-2.0pt17.3%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume totale
- 356,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3K €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 11,9K €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-0.8pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 altri esiti
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 64% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047??
- Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2047.
- Come viene liquidato Will Hong Kong become a province of the PRC before 2047??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if Hong Kong is officially a province of the PRC by December 31st 2046.