Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 82.1%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto27 giu 26, 10:57 UTC31 dic 99, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiWill Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk's net worth fall below $100 billion before 2030?
Manifold Marketswil a person have a net worth of 1 trillion in 2030
Manifold MarketsMichael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at any point, Elon Musk's net worth is officially recorded at $1.5 trillion USD or higher by either of the following trackers:
- Forbes Real-Time Billionaires
- Bloomberg Billionaires Index
- If neither tracker reports Musk's net worth reaching or exceeding $1.5 trillion by Elon Musk's death, this market will resolve to NO.
- If one of the tracking indexes is permanently discontinued or becomes inaccessible, the remaining index will serve as the sole source of truth.
Mercati aperti
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
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- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion??
- Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2099.
- Come viene liquidato Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria