Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 74%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto1 ago 26, 16:23 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump Die before 2027
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PolymarketRegole
The date for this market will extend until one of them dies.
- (Identical market to: source market)
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
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KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
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+3 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 74% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden??
- Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The date for this market will extend until one of them dies.