Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 90.1%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto30 mar 26, 16:19 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Ashley Moody win the Florida special election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Angie Nixon win the Florida special election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if a Democratic candidate wins the November 3, 2026 special election to fill the remainder of Marco Rubio's U.S. Senate term.
- The market resolves NO if a Republican candidate wins.
- The primary election will be held August 18, 2026, with the general election on November 3, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Florida Division of Elections.
- The special election was triggered by Marco Rubio's resignation to become United States Secretary of State in President Donald Trump's second administration.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 606,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 721K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election??
- Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria