Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 63.4%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto28 lug 26, 17:00 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a fully 24/7 Corgi Cafe operating in NYC at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Twitter (X) go bankrupt before 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many companies will go bankrupt this year?
KalshiWill OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027?
Manifold Markets$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketLargest Company end of September?
PolymarketRegole
Corgi is a Y Combinator-backed (S24) insurance startup that sells liability and other business coverage to startups, and has raised money at an unusual pace: a $108M Series A in January 2026, a $160M Series B at a $1.3B valuation in early May, a $106M B1 round at $2.6B just three weeks later, and a reported B2 round in July 2026 valuing the company around $4B — its third round in roughly eight weeks.
- Much of its insurance is written through Technology Risk Retention Group, Inc., an Arizona-domiciled RRG that began operating January 1, 2026.
- RRGs pay claims out of a pooled fund and aren't backed by state guaranty funds, so sufficiently large claims can render the group insolvent — and critics have questioned whether pooling many unrelated startup risks into a single RRG is sustainable.
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 351,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 altri esiti
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Corgi go bankrupt??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Corgi go bankrupt??
- Will Corgi go bankrupt? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Corgi go bankrupt??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Corgi is a Y Combinator-backed (S24) insurance startup that sells liability and other business coverage to startups, and has raised money at an unusual pace: a $108M Series A in January 2026, a $160M Series B at a $1.3B valuation in early May, a $106M B1 round at $2.6B just three weeks later, and a reported B2 round in July 2026 valuing the company around $4B — its third round in roughly eight weeks.