Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 50.3%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto5 giu 25, 18:51 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Claudia Sheinbaum have a net positive approval rating at the end of May 2030?
Manifold MarketsClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by which date?
PolymarketWill Claudia Sheinbaum remain president of Mexico through EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Claudia Sheinbaum be Mexico's president through the end of 2026?
FutuurTrump's approval rating on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiWill Trump's approval rating increase this week? (9/4-9/11)
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Claudia Sheinbaum's approval rating is above 60% at the end of December 2027.
- The approval rating will be determined based on the most recent poll conducted by a reputable polling organization, such as Enkoll, El Financiero, or Mitofsky, published within the last month of 2027.
- If multiple polls conducted on an identical or nearly identical set of days are available, the average of these polls will be used to determine the outcome.
Mercati aperti
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+8.2pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 126,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-8.0pt74%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.8pt23%
- Renan Santos+0.6pt2%
+15 altri esiti
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Flávio Bolsonaro+9.0pt51.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-10.0pt42.9%
- Jair Bolsonaro2.9%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,5 Mln €
KALSHIMercyhurst vs New Mexico
- New Mexico99%
- Mercyhurst1%
- Volume totale
- 61,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 24,1K €
POLYMARKETCuban regime falls in 2026?
- No-2.0pt88.1%
- Yes+2.0pt11.9%
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Lula da Silva <5%-9.5pt34.3%
- Lula da Silva 5-10%-5.0pt25.7%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <5%+7.5pt21.9%
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- US military action against Cuba by which date?
- Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
- Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC - Exact Score
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?
- Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Paraná Governor Election Winner
- New Mexico St. vs Hawai'i: Spread
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 50% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027??
- Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Claudia Sheinbaum have an approval rating above 60% at EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria