Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 59%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 21:46 UTC31 dic 32, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Bryan Johnson try DMT by EOY2028 (and tweet about it)?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson try brain photobiomodulation before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill JOSE LUIS RICON THE MAGNIFICENT try RTR242 by 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
PolymarketWill Bryan Johnson have sex again by which date?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Bryan Johnson publicly confirms or provides verifiable evidence that he has personally ingested, taken, or participated in a clinical trial involving the experimental drug RTR242 at any time on or before December 31, 2033.
- The market will resolve to NO if, by that date, no such confirmation or evidence exists.
- Acceptable evidence includes, but is not limited to:
- Official statements or documentation from Bryan Johnson’s social media channels, website (bryanjohnson.com), or Project Blueprint publications.
- Credible third-party reporting or documentation of clinical trial participation involving Johnson and RTR242.
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18K €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 920,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 4K €
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11.5%53%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt98%
- Above 6000+2.0pt61%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 868,1K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume totale
- 612,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Bryan Johnson try RTR242 by 2033??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 59% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Bryan Johnson try RTR242 by 2033??
- Will Bryan Johnson try RTR242 by 2033? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2032.
- Come viene liquidato Will Bryan Johnson try RTR242 by 2033??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria