Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 53.6%
Previsori
37
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo7 ago 24, 15:17 UTC1 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Biden to die before 2028 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump get impeached by the House before the end of his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached by the House again in his 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsTrump dies in office during his 2nd term?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegole
End of Biden's hypothetical second term: January 20, 2029.
- If Biden dies on or before this date, the market resolves to yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to no.
