Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Axe ever win another Major? (Melee)?

Manifold Markets quota No al 90.6% al 31 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Axe ever win another Major? (Melee)?

Will Axe ever win another Major? (Melee) dovrebbe risolversi il 17 giugno 2039.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://liquipedia.net/smash/Axe

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 90.6%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 ore fa

Obsoleto

13 gen 25, 02:08 UTC17 giu 39, 23:20 UTC

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Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

https://liquipedia.net/smash/Axe

Resolves YES if Axe wins Melee singles at a Major.
(After 2024)
Resolves NO if Axe dies, or if ANY THREE of the following are true at the SAME TIME (with posted evidence): 1. ❌Axe has not entered Melee singles at a Major for the past two years. 2. ❌Axe has not won a Major for the past seven years. 3. ❌Axe did not appear in the previous year's top 100 ranking. 4. ❌Axe has a physical injury or disease that seriously hampers his ability to compete in the foreseeable future. 5. ❌Axe's public position is that he has quit Melee and is not expecting to compete seriously in the future. 6. ❌Axe at some point dropped a tournament game to @Tumbles.
I will mark the above criteria with ✅ and ❌ as they are fulfilled, but NOTE: This is just a courtesy, resolution will not be changed if I make a mistake marking off criteria.
If a symbol needs to be changed, feel free to ping me in the comments.