Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 51.4%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto22 lug 26, 12:36 UTC1 giu 29, 22:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Artemis 4 Launch Year
Manifold MarketsArtemis 5 Launch Year
Manifold MarketsArtemis 3 Launch Date
Manifold MarketsNASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegole
Description:
- Resolves YES if NASA's Artemis V mission (the planned crewed lunar landing following Artemis IV) successfully lifts off before January 1, 2029.
- Resolves NO if the launch has not occurred by that date, including if the mission is cancelled, indefinitely delayed, or restructured such that "Artemis V" no longer refers to a crewed lunar landing mission.
- Background: As of July 2026, NASA anticipates launching Artemis V, using the standardized configuration of the SLS rocket, by late 2028, with future missions about once per year thereafter.
- However, no crew or lander has yet been assigned to the mission, and the Artemis schedule has been restructured before.
- Given the program's history of schedule slips, a significant delay versus the "late 2028" target could occur.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 944,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume totale
- 620K €
- Volume 24h
- 536K €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume totale
- 514,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 428,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029??
- Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 giugno 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Description: