Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 71.8%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo4 gen 26, 14:13 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketWho will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?
KalshiFree & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsVenezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
https://x.com/ArmchairW/status/2007504591861231918
- Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on the general gist of the post, not on whether every single prediction is correct.
- Individual incorrect predictions will not necessarily cause the market to resolve NO.
Mercati aperti
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 125,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 603,1K €
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-20.5pt8%
- September 30-5.5pt5%
- Volume totale
- 82,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 82,4K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.5pt90%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-0.1pt8%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt1%
+15 altri esiti
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt50.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+4.0pt42.1%
- Jair Bolsonaro+0.6pt2.8%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETParaná Governor Election Winner
- Sergio Moro-0.5pt82.8%
- Sandro Alex-1.0pt17.2%
- Requião Filho-0.3pt0%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro85.6%
- Delcy Rodríguez-1.0pt12.4%
- María Corina Machado+0.1pt1%
+13 altri esiti
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Tucuman vs River Plate
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 72% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year??
- Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Armchair Warlord's post on Venezuela stand up by the end of the year??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://x.com/ArmchairW/status/2007504591861231918