Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 64.9%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto29 ott 25, 18:53 UTC31 dic 26, 19:46 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Merch Shop designs will be the best sellers EOY?
Manifold MarketsMANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?
Manifold MarketsDutch Bros same-shop sales growth in Q3
KalshiWill I have a million mana in profit by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsDutch Bros same-shop sales growth in fiscal 2026
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRegole
I've submitted one design to the relevant market so far, but I'm hoping to get in two or three more when I have time.
- Any one of my designs has to get approved by Genzy or an Admin or requested by another mod to be put up for contention and it has to be chosen for the shop in the end for this to resolve YES.
- It's unclear when the second condition will be known, so this close date was chosen for convenience and might change.
- If my design is announced as chosen (or all my designs aren't included in the full set of those chosen), that's sufficient to resolve even if the merch shop is delayed significantly or what merch is available is different than what was announced.
- My submitted designs:
- Cranes In Form (repeating pattern)
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 351,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 altri esiti
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 65% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026??
- Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will any of my designs be chosen for the Mana Merch Shop by end 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I've submitted one design to the relevant market so far, but I'm hoping to get in two or three more when I have time.