Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 78.8%
Previsori
58
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto22 dic 22, 01:22 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Devansh have a *liquid* net worth of at least $1M on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk's net worth fall below $150 billion before 2030?
Manifold Marketswil a person have a net worth of 1 trillion in 2030
Manifold MarketsElon Musk Net Worth on September 30?
PolymarketElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiMichael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026
KalshiRegole
By "liquid" I mean "can reasonably direct 100M of their own capital to whatever they want." / "not fake VC valuations."
- EDIT: This includes donations/money spent in a personal capacity).
- See comments.
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 351,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 altri esiti
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 79% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030??
- Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: By "liquid" I mean "can reasonably direct 100M of their own capital to whatever they want." / "not fake VC valuations."