Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 05:51 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
No 77.8%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 29 minuti fa
6 feb 23, 19:12 UTC31 dic 40, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Is 1. g4 a losing move for white?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the outcome of a traditional game of chess with optimal play?
Manifold MarketsDoes white win stalemate-wins chess with optimal play?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the outcome of a traditional game of chess, with optimal play?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if, by 2040, there is a particular first move for white in a standard game of chess which we know to be optimal.
- That is, we must have a proof that the outcome of the game with perfect play after that move is the same (Win, lose, or draw) for white as before the move.
- Feb 6, 1:13pm: Will an optimal first move for white be known by 2040? → Will an optimal first move for white in chess be known by 2040?
