Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 56.9%
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11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto31 gen 24, 18:31 UTC31 dic 34, 22:59 UTC
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For this prediction, an eco-terrorism attack is defined as a violent act carried out with the primary intent of promoting environmentalist objectives.
- This question aims to predict if such an attack leading to the death of more than ten people will occur before the end of December 31, 2034.
- The act should either be publicly declared as eco-terrorism by the individuals or group responsible, or it should be designated as such by a recognized authority.
- A "significant loss of life" is specified as the immediate or within one month demise of more than ten individuals directly impacted by the attack.
- The location of the act is not restricted, meaning it can occur anywhere in the world.
- At least two news agencies with a solid reputation for factual reporting must confirm the incident.
