Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 62.5%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto22 gen 23, 00:54 UTC22 gen 00, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Resolves YES if Honnold retires from climbing or stops free-soloing even if he continues climbing by other methods (free climbing with belay or other assistance, aid climbing, bouldering, etc.).
- If he doesn't stop before his death then this resolves to NO.
- Clarification on possible cases (11/29/23):
- Honnold says in an interview or on social media or anywhere public that he will no longer free solo and he does not free solo for at least a month afterwards: YES
- Honnold stops free soloing for strictly more than one year without having expressly commented on his plans or committed to another major project: YES.
- If he does not solo for a year but says he hasn’t decided to stop, this is insufficient for a resolution.
Mercati aperti
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 24,5 Mln €
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 24,6 Mln €
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 Mln €
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents??
- Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents? dovrebbe risolversi il 22 gennaio 2100.
- Come viene liquidato Will Alex Honnold ever stop doing free-solo ascents??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if Honnold retires from climbing or stops free-soloing even if he continues climbing by other methods (free climbing with belay or other assistance, aid climbing, bouldering, etc.).