Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 77%
Previsori
44
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
18 apr 23, 15:23 UTC1 gen 29, 02:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?
KalshiWill Roy Lee become a billionaire before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
KalshiWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Manifold MarketsWill The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Kai Cenat become a billionaire before 2030?
KalshiRegole
I will consider a soloprenour as defined by the financial media (FT, The Economist, Forbes, WSJ, Nikkei, Reuters, Bloomberg...) and billionaire as also defined by the same mainstream financial media.
Mercati aperti
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 200-219+29.0pt91%
- 220-239-14.3pt5%
- 180-199-12.7pt4%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 614K €
POLYMARKETVariational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $200M-0.3pt98%
- $100M-0.7pt98%
- $300M-0.1pt96%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhat will Costco say during their next earnings call?
- GLP-1 / GLP 1+64.0pt99%
- Tariff+3.0pt99%
- Churro+57.0pt99%
+18 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
- 180-199+3.0pt30.9%
- 160-179+3.0pt23.7%
- 200-219-7.0pt16.5%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
- No69%
- Yes+3.0pt31%
- Volume totale
- 935,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.1pt25.5%
- $2.25–$2.5T21.6%
- $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt19.6%
+7 altri esiti
- Largest Company end of September?
- Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Tencent market share this week
- Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
- Monster Energy Point of Sale Growth in September
- Dr. Pepper Point of Sale Growth in September
- Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
- Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Xiaomi market share this week
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 77% al 25 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end??
- Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will a solopreneur billionaire emerge by 2028 year-end??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I will consider a soloprenour as defined by the financial media (FT, The Economist, Forbes, WSJ, Nikkei, Reuters, Bloomberg...) and billionaire as also defined by the same mainstream financial media.