Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026?
America LatinaOne-OffEuropa2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 56.6%
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3
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binary
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo17 apr 26, 21:31 UTC1 gen 27, 00:00 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if a sitting head of state or head of government of any internationally recognized country posts a video on TikTok or Instagram Reels before December 31, 2026 (23:59 UTC) in which they are clearly dancing.
- What counts:
- The video must be posted to the leader's verified/official TikTok or Instagram account
- The leader must be visibly dancing (not just standing, waving, or clapping) — coordinated body movement to music
- Candid clips posted by others don't count — it must be posted by the leader's own official account
