Previsione della comunità attuale
No 93.3%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto8 ago 26, 07:13 UTC1 gen 28, 05:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will SSI announce a model?
Manifold MarketsWill there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher?
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketFIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
Kalshi46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament Winner
PolymarketWhich parties will be in next Swedish Government?
PolymarketRegole
Codename: SSITOP
- Resolves YES if a model produced by Safe Superintelligence (SSI), released before January 1, 2028, holds the #1 general Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI) score at any moment.
- Even briefly holding first place counts.
- Epoch’s displayed central general-ECI estimates control; confidence bounds and domain-specific scores do not.
- The qualifying score must appear by April 30, 2028.
- If Epoch disappears, MNX will use the closest credible successor ranking.
Mercati aperti
SportsKALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Buffalo+1.0pt11.2%
- Los Angeles R11.2%
- San Francisco+1.0pt7.8%
+29 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 111,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 7 Mln €
KALSHIAstakhova vs Linette
- Darya Astakhova99%
- Magda Linette1%
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHINY Giants vs LA Rams
- Los Angeles R+1.0pt72.5%
- New York G+1.0pt27.4%
- Volume totale
- 3,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2 Mln €
KALSHIMVP Winner?
- Josh Allen+3.0pt28%
- Brock Purdy+11.0pt17%
- Joe Burrow+4.0pt9%
+44 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 19,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETDota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?99%
- Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?76%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Nflgame 26 SEP 20 Lvlac
- LV+27.0pt53.9%
- LAC-26.0pt46.1%
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 Mln €
- Nflgame 26 SEP 20 Miasf
- Aguilar Cardozo vs Dickerson
- Pro Football: 2027 Champion
- New York G vs Los Angeles R: Spread
- MLB: Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros (Sep 20, 2026)
- Nflgame 26 SEP 20 Seaari
- Nflspread 26 SEP 20 Miasf
- Nflspread 26 SEP 20 Jaxden
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- New York G vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns
- Pro Baseball Champion
- Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028??
- SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato SSI Top: SSI model #1 on ECI before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Codename: SSITOP