Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 69%
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7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto30 mag 26, 20:13 UTC31 dic 51, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Venus by EOY 2051?
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Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Ganymede by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill a rover from Earth land on the moon Titan by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.
- Permanent: designed to operate indefinitely; has a chance of lasting many years like other rovers.
- Land: operate on the surface as designed.
Mercati aperti
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 89,7K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volume totale
- 101,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 26,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,5K €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051??
- Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2051.
- Come viene liquidato Will a rover from Earth land on the planet Mercury by EOY 2051??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Rover: some kind of permanent robotic system, generally comparable to lunar or Martian rovers, but not limited to specific designs.