Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 90%
Previsori
38
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo12 gen 24, 21:25 UTC2 ott 28, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWill someone under 70 be elected US president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
Manifold MarketsWill a female be elected US vice president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman be elected US president in 2028?
PredictItWill Gavin Newsom win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExRegole
Resolves YES if a person born on Nov 8th, 1958 or later wins the US Presidential election, even if they do not end up being inaugurated (due to illness etc).
- Resolves NO if a person born on Nov 7th, 1958 or earlier wins the election.
- Important: this market is for the 2028 election!
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 847,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 668,8K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 90% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028??
- Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 ottobre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will a person under the age of 70 be elected US President in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if a person born on Nov 8th, 1958 or later wins the US Presidential election, even if they do not end up being inaugurated (due to illness etc).