Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 52.2%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto16 feb 26, 23:36 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
The 61st Venice Biennale opens on 9 May 2026 (preview days 6-8 May).
- This market resolves YES if the Golden Lion for Best National Participation is awarded to an artist from Asia, Africa, Latin America, or the Middle East.
- Resolution criteria:
- - Award must be announced during the opening ceremony/preview days (6-8 May 2026) or by official La Biennale announcement before 31 May 2026
- - "Non-Western" defined as artists from Asia, Africa, Latin America, Middle East, or Eastern Europe
- - If the pavilion represents a Western nation but features a non-Western artist, this counts as NO (the pavilion's nation determines geographic classification)
Mercati aperti
Awards
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-1.0pt62.4%
- Lamine Yamal13.9%
- Kylian Mbappé+0.6pt10.9%
+28 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 375K €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+2.0pt17%
- AMAN11%
- CCAR10%
+28 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 117,7K €
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI62.9%
- Resident Evil Requiem10.3%
- Control Resonant+1.0pt7.8%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.8pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-8.5pt77%
- Kylian Mbappé-8.0pt60%
+28 altri esiti
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt62.1%
- twenty one pilots+5.0pt14.7%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,5K €
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- Shakira & Burna Boy39.8%
- Bad Bunny-2.0pt30.6%
- Anitta with Shakira25%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 19,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 994,7 €
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Artist of The Year
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 52% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026??
- Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The 61st Venice Biennale opens on 9 May 2026 (preview days 6-8 May).