Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030?
WeatherOne-Off4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 71.8%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto6 feb 24, 00:31 UTC1 gen 31, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Context: https://eos.org/articles/weve-already-seen-category-6-hurricanes-now-scientists-want-to-make-it-official
- That scale may not capture the risk posed by the most intense storms as the world warms, the authors wrote.
- They suggest a sixth category that encompasses storms with winds greater than 192 miles per hour (309 kilometers per hour).
- This market resolves YES if, by the end of 2030, a storm somewhere in the world has been designated Category 6 by the NHC.
- It resolves NO if no storm has been designated.
- This includes if the NHC has recognized the expansion of the scale, but no storm meets the criteria.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 72% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030??
- Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Context: https://eos.org/articles/weve-already-seen-category-6-hurricanes-now-scientists-want-to-make-it-official