Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
One-OffBusiness & CorporateEquitiesMacro & Economy3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 68.7%
Previsori
48
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto23 gen 24, 03:54 UTC2 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Elon Musk be worth more than $2 Trillion before Jan 1st, 2030?
Manifold Marketswil a person have a net worth of 1 trillion in 2030
Manifold MarketsWill the richest person in the world have a net worth over 1 Trillion USD at any point in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be worth more than 2 Trillion Dollars before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves yes if there's a company formed after Jan 1 2020 that is worth more than 1 trillion US dollars before 2030.
- Can be anytime, doesn't have to be worth 1 trillion on jan 1 2030.
- Has to be either publicly traded or a company that has raised >10 billion in funding (to get a semi accurate value).
Mercati aperti
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 351,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 altri esiti
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030??
- Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if there's a company formed after Jan 1 2020 that is worth more than 1 trillion US dollars before 2030.