Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 74%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto3 apr 24, 03:20 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any cloned human organs, including the organs of viable cloned human infants, exist by EOY 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a baby born on the Moon before Mars?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will the first baby be born on Mars?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If by December 31, 2029, any scientist, group, or institution announces the birth of a cloned human baby, and that birth is recognized as legit by the scientific community, that question will be answered with "Yes".
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 20,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 8K €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
- 84,1K €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 652,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,4K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 865,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 3K €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume totale
- 915,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 74% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030?
- Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will a cloned human baby be born before 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: If by December 31, 2029, any scientist, group, or institution announces the birth of a cloned human baby, and that birth is recognized as legit by the scientific community, that question will be answered with "Yes".