Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?
ChinaOne-Off13aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 83.6%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto24 ott 23, 07:40 UTC31 dic 39, 15:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force
- Chinese Armed Forces: People's Liberation Army Ground Force, People's Liberation Army Navy, People's Liberation Army Air Force, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, People's Liberation Army Strategic Support Force, People's Armed Police (including China Coast Guard), Militia of China (including the Maritime Militia)
- Resolves YES if it is clear that one side has directly caused a fatality in the other
- Please note that a member of one side's armed forces causing a 'civilian' (ie not a member of forces listed here) fatality will not result in a YES resolution by itself
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 84% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040??
- Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2039.
- Come viene liquidato Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force