Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.9%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto2 gen 26, 11:58 UTC2 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2026?
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KalshiWill Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.
- The outcome will be determined by the FDIC's "Failed Bank List" (https://www.fdic.gov/bank-failures/failed-bank-list).
- This market will be resolved as YES if there are 7 or more records in "Failed Bank List" that have year 2026 in the column "Closing Date".
- This will be resolved YES shortly after such condition is met.
- This market will be resolved as NO if, at the beginning of 2027, there are fewer than 7 records with a "Closing Date" in 2026 on the "Failed Bank List".
- Author betting rules
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.8pt98%
- $25M+1.6pt96%
- $50M+9.4pt94%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 963,7K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+38.5pt96%
- 65-89-29.6pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199+1.0pt19.8%
- 160-179+5.0pt18.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.8%
+23 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-1.0pt79%
- Apple-0.6pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
- Above 90.0 TWh95%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 118,2K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 189,5K €
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
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- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Chewy active customers in Q2
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026??
- Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.