Who will win the 2028 Way-Too-Early Democratic Primary Draft on Silver Bulletin?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 22 ott 2026, 04:35 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeTeam Nate (Shapiro, Booker, Gavin…) 54%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto17 apr 25, 04:50 UTC30 giu 28, 22:59 UTC
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Regole
Galen Druke and Nate Silver did a draft on Silver Bulletin!
- The scoring system is a bit complicated (it’s not just based on who wins the nomination) but everything should be clear from this image:
- [image]I will probably defer to Nate and Galen when they announce the victor.
- Otherwise, I might have to calculate it myself :(
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
