Who will win the 2026 U.S. House election in California's 29th District?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioni di metà mandato USA 2026Politica USAElezione11g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 24 ott 2026, 00:48 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeLuz Maria Rivas 93.1%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto6 ott 26, 05:40 UTC4 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
This market resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for California's 29th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- the named outcome — ballot designation: Democratic
- No write-ins: California does not count write-in votes in a top-two general election for Congress, so only the two candidates above can win.
