Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 61.5%In testa tra 19 esiti
Previsori
52
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto16 feb 24, 03:32 UTC6 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
Trend
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?
Manifold MarketsWill both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)?
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
LimitlessRegole
This market resolves to the next person to win a US Presidential Election besides Joe Biden and Donald Trump.
- This can be in 2024, 2028, or however long it takes for this to happen.
- If you have any suggestions for other potential candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 62% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden??
- Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden? dovrebbe risolversi il 6 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Who will next win a US Presidential Election besides Donald Trump or Joe Biden??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves to the next person to win a US Presidential Election besides Joe Biden and Donald Trump.