Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNicola Willis 40.4%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto25 gen 26, 23:08 UTC21 nov 26, 23:08 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsWho Will be Deputy Prime Minister after the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party finishes 6th place in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PolymarketNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketRegole
resolves to the first finance minister after a govt is sworn in from the 2026 NZ election
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who Will be Finance Minister after the 2026 NZ Election??
- Manifold Markets quota Nicola Willis al 40% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who Will be Finance Minister after the 2026 NZ Election??
- Who Will be Finance Minister after the 2026 NZ Election? dovrebbe risolversi il 21 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Who Will be Finance Minister after the 2026 NZ Election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: resolves to the first finance minister after a govt is sworn in from the 2026 NZ election