Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Maryland's 1st District?
0.2 pt (24h)PoliticaMonthlyPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 202615g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeRepublican Party — Andy Harris 89%+0.2ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-4.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
6 ott 26, 05:55 UTC4 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Andy Harris win the Maryland 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Dan Schwartz win the Maryland 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Maryland's 6th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Maryland's 3rd District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Maryland's 7th District?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Maryland's 4th District?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Maryland's 1st congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
